David Radloff, co-founder of Clarity Campaign Labs which provides modeling and analytics, polling and strategy for Democratic campaigns, progressive organizations and non-profits, joins Farrah to talk about how campaigns create and use predictive models – about party preference and about turnout – to develop campaign strategy and predict electoral outcomes.
This is Cross Tabs, the newsletter for the podcast that will try to explain how polls are designed and conducted, how to understand what they say, how to discern what they don’t say, so that you can navigate yet another “single most important election in our lifetimes.” Each week, Farrah Bostic – strategist, researcher and…
Welcome to March 5, 2024. It is the first Tuesday in March in a quadrennial year, which makes it Super Tuesday. Voters in 16 states and one US territory will have their first opportunity to vote for their preferred presidential candidate. About a third of each party’s delegates are awarded as a result of today’s…
That WSJ seven-swing-states poll, and a margin of error revelation. Hi, happy Friday. Today I want to share some technical observations about the reporting of the WSJ’s swing state polling that got a bit of coverage this week. The topline report is available as a PDF here. I’ll attach it here so you can click…
We’re four episodes in now, and I’m really excited about this series of interviews I’m doing. Last time, I talked to David Radloff, co-founder of Clarity Campaign Labs about how campaigns model turnout and party preference – and how campaigns put those models to good strategic and tactical use. We also talked a lot about…
An interview with Natalie Lupiani and Shannon Janean Currie of Benenson Strategy Group on the lastest episode of Cross Tabs As the political landscape grows increasingly complex, the art and science of polling have never been more crucial—or more controversial. While public trust in polls wavers, strategic research consultants work behind the scenes to craft…
Members of the Biden campaign, including Biden himself, have told the press they believe that “polling is broken.” It’s hard to say which part of polling they have issues with, or whether they simply don’t like it. It’s not unusual for Presidents and presidential candidates to have love/hate relationships with the polls. But maybe there’s…