David Radloff, co-founder of Clarity Campaign Labs which provides modeling and analytics, polling and strategy for Democratic campaigns, progressive organizations and non-profits, joins Farrah to talk about how campaigns create and use predictive models – about party preference and about turnout – to develop campaign strategy and predict electoral outcomes.
Members of the Biden campaign, including Biden himself, have told the press they believe that “polling is broken.” It’s hard to say which part of polling they have issues with, or whether they simply don’t like it. It’s not unusual for Presidents and presidential candidates to have love/hate relationships with the polls. But maybe there’s…
In our inaugural episode released on Iowa’s GOP Caucus day, January 15, 2024, host Farrah Bostic (In the Demo Podcast, The Difference Engine) and pal Paul Soldera (Equation Research), set the table for what Cross Tabs is all about: demystifying what polls are and how they work. Mentioned links: Jill Lepore’s “Politics and the New…
Welcome to March 5, 2024. It is the first Tuesday in March in a quadrennial year, which makes it Super Tuesday. Voters in 16 states and one US territory will have their first opportunity to vote for their preferred presidential candidate. About a third of each party’s delegates are awarded as a result of today’s…
How polling can help us check assumptions about patriotism and civic participation
An outlier polls caught the eye of pundits, but how much stock should we put in a new poll from Pennsylvania showing Biden up 10? CORRECTION: Hi – the headline that went out with this post was wrong. That’s my fault. I started writing this post based on an article I found that cited the…
An interview with Natalie Lupiani and Shannon Janean Currie of Benenson Strategy Group on the lastest episode of Cross Tabs As the political landscape grows increasingly complex, the art and science of polling have never been more crucial—or more controversial. While public trust in polls wavers, strategic research consultants work behind the scenes to craft…